Four out of five go in. Here is how to read the taker, pick your side early, and give yourself a real chance at the fifth.
Your team gives away a soft penalty. Everyone turns and looks at you.
Your heart is going. The whole pitch has gone quiet.
And here is the thing nobody tells you at that moment: the pressure is not on you at all.
Most penalties are saved before the ball is struck. Read the striker's run-up and where their eyes go, pick a side early rather than reacting, and dive low to mid height, because that is where most penalties go. You cover about a fifth of the goal, so anything you save is a bonus.
Look at the actual numbers.
A football goal is roughly 18 square metres. Diving your absolute best, you cover about 4 of them. That leaves 80% of the goal wide open for someone standing 11 metres away with a stationary ball.
Around four out of every five penalties end up in the net.
So you are in a win-win. Save it and you are the hero. Concede and you have done exactly what everyone expected.
I want you to actually feel that before your next one, because a goalkeeper who believes the pressure is on them moves differently. They plant early. They guess in a panic. The striker is the one with everything to lose here. You are the underdog, and everyone loves an underdog.
That does not mean rolling over. It means the odds being against you is the reason to try everything, not a reason to stand still.
They do, and the best goalkeepers in the world use them openly.
Emi Martinez spent the 2022 World Cup getting inside takers' heads. Dancing on his line, talking, throwing the ball away. Was some of it over the line? Probably. Did it work? Yes.
Jens Lehmann pulled a folded piece of paper out of his sock before every penalty at the 2006 World Cup. Whether he actually read anything useful on it barely matters. Imagine standing over the biggest kick of your life while the goalkeeper studies a note with your name on it.
You do not need to do any of that. There are quieter versions that work just as well:
Small delays give a nervous person more time to think. A striker who is overthinking a penalty is a striker who mishits it. The rest of the legal ones, from corners to free kicks, are in five legal goalkeeper tricks that win you games.
Keep it sporting. The point is to slow him down, not to abuse him. And if he scores anyway, nobody remembers what you did beforehand. There is no downside.
You have less than half a second. The ball arrives at around 90 km/h. That is less time than a blink.
You have probably been told to watch the plant foot or the hips. In theory it is good advice, and most strikers do point their plant foot towards the shot or open their hips to curl it.
In practice, by the time you have read it, the ball is past you.
So stop trying to react. Make an educated guess, commit, and go.
Here is what to build the guess from.
Right-footed players usually shoot to their left. Left-footed players usually go to their right. Not a rule, but a good starting point.
Most penalties go to a bottom corner, so dive low to mid height. If he picks the top corner cleanly, you were probably never saving it. Plenty of takers overhit and drag it, and you save those by being low. The worst outcome is guessing right and letting it slip under you, which is a low dive technique problem more than a penalty problem.
This is where the real information is.
Short and slow usually means he is placing it carefully or waiting to read you. Long and fast means either serious power, or he is planning to slow down at the last moment to see what you do.
Have a quick look at his team-mates on the edge of the box. If they are drifting to one side, that is a hint. Who knows a striker's favourite corner better than the lads who train with him?
None of these are guarantees. They are clues. With less than half a second to work with, clues are worth a lot.
In 2005 Jerzy Dudek won Liverpool a Champions League final partly by wobbling about on his goal line, waving his arms and making himself impossible to ignore. The Dudek dance.
Back then goalkeepers had more freedom. Now at least part of one foot has to stay on the line when the ball is struck.
You can still do plenty within that:
Fake the dive. Lean or step one way as he starts his strike, then go the other. Works best against a taker who is watching you.
Stand slightly off centre. Move a step to one side and the other side of the goal starts to look bigger. Do it subtly and you can invite him into the space you were already planning to dive towards.
Be big. Bounce on your toes, spread your arms. The bigger you look, the smaller the goal looks from 11 metres.
Hold eye contact and smile. It says "I know where you're going." You almost certainly do not. He does not know that.
I saved four out of eight penalties in a cup semi-final using this. It is the simplest thing in this whole article.
Watch his eyes.
Somewhere between placing the ball on the spot and starting his run-up, almost every taker glances at the exact spot he is aiming for. Right after he sets the ball down, while he is walking backwards, or in the half second before he moves.
Our eyes wander constantly. Under real pressure, they go where the mind already is.
It sounds too simple to be true. It is the single most reliable thing I have found in twenty years of facing penalties.
Experienced takers know about it. Ivan Toney is excellent at looking one way and going the other, or staring straight at the goalkeeper the whole time. If a taker never looks at a corner, that itself tells you he has thought about this, and you fall back on his foot and his run-up.
You will not remember eight things while standing on your line.
Everything else in this article is for training and for watching football. Those two are for the moment itself.
And if it goes in, walk back, pick the ball out, and let it go. Four out of five do. That one was never yours. If letting it go is the part you struggle with, how you talk to yourself after conceding is the habit to fix first.
Most penalties are decided before the run-up, and so is most of the rest of your game. If you want the whole subject, start with the complete guide to goalkeeper positioning.
Reading a penalty is one thing. Being able to physically get across your goal and hold the ball when you get there is another, and that comes from the training you did months earlier.
The Ultimate Self-Training Course lays that out for you: 120+ drills with a weekly plan, so the work is already decided before you turn up. $27 a month.
Have a look at the program 30-day money-back guarantee if it is not helping.Find more great content here: